When Gordon Brown took the stage for his first conference address as prime minister in September 2007. The Labor Party had a 10, 11 and 13 percentage point lead in the polls. His party and the country’s media were awaiting an early general election – the November mandate for the New Labor Party’s new Brownism program. Brown himself failed to curb expectations. He let the rumors spread and the hype continued to grow.
By the time Brown ruled out early elections, David Cameron and the Conservatives had snatched the agenda, giving the cameras an incendiary speech at his conference in Blackpool, where the shadow leader challenged Brown to an early election. The Tories were eager to capitalize on the issue that the media and the country were obsessed with, and benefited accordingly. When the activists left the northern city and went to their constituencies, Labor’s leadership virtually disappeared. It was the season of conferences and the “prank” by the prime minister that pushed polls and changed perceptions.
Conference season this year falls on a time when Conservative The withdrawal from Labor is clear, but fragile. Based on voters who previously expressed uncertainty about their intention to stay with the Conservatives, Tory leadership is not set in stone, and the events of both conventions could turn things around.
The focus group was shown clips selected by the hosts of the two performances, and Starmer came out on top in content, enjoyment and perceived competence.
Although Johnson’s speech was heralded as one of the best he has ever delivered, more voters thought he was out of the picture (45 percent) than Starmer (29 percent).
In addition, most of the focus group thought Starmer showed concern for common people (68 percent) than Johnson (46 percent) and believed that Starmer showed competence (62 percent) compared to Johnson (49 percent).
In terms of how the focus group reacted to the speeches (or at least snippets of speeches), Starmer won. But is that enough?
In 2007, Cameron gave his party poll support because he grabbed onto the political agenda, because he talked about issues that voters noticed. Did Starmer do the same?